BUS CROWDEDNESS FORECASTER

A tool for knowing how crowded your bus will be during your trip

In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, we have developed a tool that can help you decide when to take the bus. For each of your weekday's rides, you can now get an estimate of the crowdedness of your bus during the entire course of your trip.

Since applying the 2-metre social distancing rule on buses is not always possible, we insist on the importance of wearing a face covering.

CROWDEDNESS ESTIMATOR

The level of crowdedness is estimated based on the particulars of your commute, which you input. The result is the approximate number of passengers riding the bus during the time of your trip on weekdays, therefore from Monday to Friday.

These are predictions. Changes in riders’ commute habits may cause actual numbers to rise or drop.

Legend:

- than 10 passengers
10 to 15 passengers
15 to 20 passengers
20 to 25 passengers
25 to 30 passengers
+ than 30 passengers

How crowded will the bus be during my trip?

Choose your options in the 4 fields below.

Try different options to compare predictions for different commutes: different bus times, different bus stops (departure and destination), different buses nearby, etc. Please note that the times given correspond to the weekly schedules, so the results are representative for rides made from Monday to Friday.

Are you viewing this page on a mobile device? Rotate your device horizontally for a better experience.

What are we basing our predictions on?

All of our buses are equipped with passenger counters. They provide us with statistical data on how many riders are using our network, and more specifically, how many are on each bus, per trip, and at each stop.

The most recent historical data is then used to calculate the average crowdedness of a given bus, in a given direction, at a given time and between two given stops for travels made from Monday to Friday. The averages are converted into metrics provided for information purposes so transit users can plan their commutes.

These metrics may vary from day to day, or week or week, but we do strive to update them at least once daily to keep them as current as possible.

With the recent deconfinement, the level of crowdedness on Saturdays and Sundays has not yet risen, which would not allow us to have enough data on hand to offer a fair estimate on weekends. This is why the tool is currently only configured for weekday trips. As the situation evolves, we plan to add weekend schedules for study.

Since these metrics are primarily meant for information purposes, and because they are based on estimates sourced from big data, they are not eligible for use under the STL Quality Commitment Program.

Help us improve our tool

Send us your comments and your suggestions through our contact form. Make sure to indicate ‘’On-board traffic forecast’’ in the Details section of the form. We thank you in advance!


COVID-19: Latest developments at the STL

To learn about the other measures the STL has put in place for users and employees, visit our dedicated COVID-19 webpage.